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Here we present you interesting articles from a wide range of topics which help to better understand risks and uncertainties of everyday life.
We are constantly updating and extending this selection. 



Banks err by confusing risk, uncertainty

published in ScienceNews, 17 November 2012

Complex prediction models may have blinded financial institutions to looming meltdown.
(c) ScienceNews.com / picture (c) S. Hofschlaeger / pixelio.de

 

 

>> to the article on ScienceNews.com



"Certainty is an illusion"

published in Tagesspiegel, 26 October 2012

Risk researcher Gerd Gigerenzer on earthquakes, hospital germs and people's fear of their intuition.
(c) Tagesspiegel.de

 

 

>> to the article on tagesspiegel.de (German)



Statistics Expertise: Why Many Doctors Advise Their Patients Wrong

published on SPIEGEL-Online, 15 July 2012

arzt_klein Since many doctors are not able to properly interpret statistics, Berlin scientists are demanding a better education of physicians. The real problem is the lack of expertise in advising patients because false information can have dramatic consequences.
(c) Spiegel.de / picture (c) Rolf van Melis / pixelio.de

>> to the article on spiegel.de (German)



Prostate cancer: The persuasive power of an anekdote

published on SPIEGEL-Online, 23 May 2012

statistik_psa-screening In the United States, a recommendation against prostate screening caused an outcry, even though the benefit of these screenings was called into question through objective data.
Spiegel Online reports on a study by Wolfgang Gaissmaier, which investigates why people are often more convinced by personal anecdotes than by statistical facts.
(c) Spiegel.de

>> the article on spiegel.de (German)
>>
the paper on "Psychological Science"
>> more information in our facts box

Also internationally there is a huge media response:

>> article on commonhealth.wbur.org
>> another article on commonhealth.wbur.org
>> interview on npr.com
>> article on npr.com
>> article on TIME.com
>> article on sciencedaily.com
>> article on psychologicalscience.org



Promoting individual health services (IGeL): Consumer protection agency admonishes German gynecologists

published on SPIEGEL-Online, 22 May 2012

ultraschall Some gynecologists promote a pelvic ultrasound sonogram as a worthwhile investment in ovarian cancer prevention. However, women have to pay for this service out of their own pockets and experts are skeptical about the examination. The consumer protection agency in North-Rhine Westphalia recently admonished doctors who promote it all too aggressively.
(c) Spiegel.de / picture
(c) Der Arzt / pixelio.de

>> the article on spiegel.de (German)